Thursday, March 25, 2010

THREE ON A MATCH – US…ISRAEL…IRAN

The story developing between the US, Israel, and Iran has a long history.
That story is taking a new twist.

The b.o. Administration appears to be degrading the traditional understandings between the US and Israel, aka the Big Satan and the Little Satan to the Iranian government.

Now, b.o. is playing with a different kind of problem in the Middle East than he has ever faced within the sheltered arena of domestic American politics.

Israel has long known that it could expect little help from the UN and Western Europe against threats from hostile neighbors.
What it could expect was traditional support of varying sorts and degrees from the US.

That is the ingredient that has changed in the current unfolding of Middle Eastern diplomacy.

b.o. is signaling a new relationship with Israel, a far-less ‘we are with you no matter what’, a relationship which appears to be causing Israel to reevaluate the reliance which it can place upon US guarantees of Israeli security.

Our concern is that Israel may, in the near future, decide that it cannot rely on US influence to deter Iran from aggression and will consequently decide to carry out a pre-emptive strike.

Should that occur, b.o. will have been guilty of destabilizing a region which has up to now gotten by with a relative, stress relative, low-level of violence.

A strike against Iran and the consequences thereof would likely make the violence of the last few years seem tame indeed.

b.o. is changing the US system health care system.
He is changing US diplomatic postures in the Middle East.

We have not as yet really felt any of the consequences.

As Gramma used to say, “The proof is in the pudding.”

I know, lots of Grammas used to say that.
We still do say that.

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